MLB Home Runs
Daily probability-first batter HR candidates from projected lineups, probable pitchers, venue context, and recent hitter form.
Updated 2026-07-17T13:11:31.008187+00:00 · Statcast blend · Random Forest (v1) · supabase edges
Missing sportsbook odds for 95 MLB home run candidates.
Statcast features unavailable for 120 candidates; those rows use the V1 fallback.
Candidates
120
candidate model surface
Top Probability
21.7%
James Wood vs ATH
Rows With Flags
36
Flags cover lineup, pitcher, and player-history gaps.
Odds Coverage
20.8%
25 candidates with sportsbook odds
Statcast Coverage
0.0%
0 of 120 ready
Positive Edges
0
Esmerlyn Valdez +525
Home Run Probability Board - Random Forest (v1)
| Rank | Player | Model Agreement | Consensus Score | V1 Rank | Statcast Rank | Since HR | Game | Slot | Pitcher | HR Prob | Statcast Prob | Best Price | Market Prob | Edge / EV | Odds | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Wood WSH | Missing Statcast | 281 | #2 | #2 unavailable | 0g | ATH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 1 projected | Gage Jump | 21.7% v1 | 21.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 2 | Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | Missing Statcast | 282 | #1 | #1 unavailable | 4g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 1 projected | Bailey Ober | 21.8% v1 | 21.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 3 | Ben Rice NYY | Missing Statcast | 287 | #5 | #5 unavailable | 2g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 1 projected | Roki Sasaki | 20.8% v1 | 20.8% fallback | +300 betrivers | 25.0% raw | -4.2% EV -16.9% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 4 | Yordan Alvarez HOU | Missing Statcast | 288 | #4 | #4 unavailable | 1g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 3 projected | Dean Kremer | 20.9% v1 | 20.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 5 | Junior Caminero TB | Missing Statcast | 289 | #3 | #3 unavailable | 2g | BOS Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 3 projected | n/a | 21.4% v1 | 21.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. WSH | Missing Statcast | 289 | #6 | #6 unavailable | 3g | ATH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 2 projected | Gage Jump | 20.6% v1 | 20.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 7 | Junior Caminero TB | Missing Statcast | 291 | #7 | #7 unavailable | 2g | BOS Jul 17, 5:35 PM | 3 projected | Jake Bennett | 20.5% v1 | 20.5% fallback | +255 betrivers | 28.2% raw | -7.7% EV -27.4% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 8 | Shohei Ohtani LAD | Missing Statcast | 293 | #8 | #8 unavailable | 0g | NYY Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 1 projected | Gerrit Cole | 20.3% v1 | 20.3% fallback | +225 betrivers | 30.8% raw | -10.5% EV -34.1% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 9 | Hunter Goodman COL | Missing Statcast | 295 | #9 | #9 unavailable | 9g | CIN Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 3 projected | Brady Singer | 18.2% v1 | 18.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 10 | Kody Clemens MIN | Missing Statcast | 297 | #10 | #10 unavailable | 7g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 3 projected | Colin Rea | 18.0% v1 | 18.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 11 | Rafael Devers SF | Missing Statcast | 299 | #11 | #11 unavailable | 2g | SEA Jul 18, 2:10 AM | 4 projected | Bryce Miller | 17.7% v1 | 17.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 12 | Curtis Mead WSH | Missing Statcast | 301 | #12 | #12 unavailable | 0g | ATH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 3 projected | Gage Jump | 17.6% v1 | 17.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 13 | Paul Goldschmidt NYY | Missing Statcast | 303 | #13 | #13 unavailable | 1g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 2 projected | Roki Sasaki | 17.5% v1 | 17.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 14 | Dominic Canzone SEA | Missing Statcast | 307 | #15 | #15 unavailable | 2g | SF Jul 18, 2:10 AM | 3 projected | Landen Roupp | 16.9% v1 | 16.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 15 | Heriberto Hernández MIA | Missing Statcast | 308 | #14 | #14 unavailable | 2g | MIL Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 4 projected | Logan Henderson | 17.2% v1 | 17.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 16 | Jackson Chourio MIL | Missing Statcast | 311 | #17 | #17 unavailable | 8g | MIA Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 2 projected | Sandy Alcantara | 16.3% v1 | 16.3% fallback | +460 betrivers | 17.9% raw | -1.6% EV -8.8% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 17 | Kyle Stowers MIA | Missing Statcast | 312 | #16 | #16 unavailable | 4g | MIL Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 2 projected | Logan Henderson | 16.4% v1 | 16.4% fallback | +310 betrivers | 24.4% raw | -8.0% EV -32.9% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | low_pitcher_history |
| 18 | Jonah Heim ATH | Missing Statcast | 313 | #18 | #18 unavailable | 5g | WSH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 3 projected | Cade Cavalli | 16.2% v1 | 16.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 19 | Kazuma Okamoto TOR | Missing Statcast | 315 | #19 | #19 unavailable | 2g | CWS Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 4 projected | Anthony Kay | 15.8% v1 | 15.8% fallback | +350 betrivers | 22.2% raw | -6.4% EV -28.9% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 20 | Cedric Mullins TB | Missing Statcast | 317 | #20 | #20 unavailable | 2g | BOS Jul 17, 5:35 PM | 4 projected | Jake Bennett | 15.6% v1 | 15.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 21 | Pete Alonso BAL | Missing Statcast | 319 | #21 | #21 unavailable | 1g | HOU Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 3 projected | Peter Lambert | 15.6% v1 | 15.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 22 | Jac Caglianone KC | Missing Statcast | 321 | #22 | #22 unavailable | 2g | SD Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 3 projected | Michael King | 15.6% v1 | 15.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 23 | Nick Kurtz ATH | Missing Statcast | 323 | #23 | #23 unavailable | 5g | WSH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 1 projected | Cade Cavalli | 15.5% v1 | 15.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 24 | Joc Pederson TEX | Missing Statcast | 325 | #24 | #24 unavailable | 2g | ATL Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 1 projected | Chris Sale | 15.5% v1 | 15.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 25 | Seiya Suzuki CHC | Missing Statcast | 330 | #25 | #25 unavailable | 3g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 4 projected | Bailey Ober | 15.3% v1 | 15.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 26 | Jake McCarthy COL | Missing Statcast | 331 | #27 | #27 unavailable | 0g | CIN Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 1 projected | Brady Singer | 15.1% v1 | 15.1% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 27 | Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | Missing Statcast | 333 | #28 | #28 unavailable | 1g | CLE Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 3 projected | Gavin Williams | 15.1% v1 | 15.1% fallback | +525 betrivers | 16.0% raw | -0.9% EV -5.6% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 28 | Willson Contreras BOS | Missing Statcast | 335 | #26 | #26 unavailable | 2g | TB Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 4 projected | n/a | 15.3% v1 | 15.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 29 | CJ Abrams WSH | Missing Statcast | 335 | #29 | #29 unavailable | 3g | ATH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 4 projected | Gage Jump | 15.0% v1 | 15.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 30 | Josh Bell MIN | Missing Statcast | 341 | #32 | #32 unavailable | 7g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 4 projected | Colin Rea | 14.9% v1 | 14.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 31 | Jose Altuve HOU | Missing Statcast | 342 | #31 | #31 unavailable | 0g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 1 projected | Dean Kremer | 14.9% v1 | 14.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 32 | Cedric Mullins TB | Missing Statcast | 343 | #30 | #30 unavailable | 2g | BOS Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 4 projected | n/a | 15.0% v1 | 15.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 33 | Matt Olson ATL | Missing Statcast | 343 | #33 | #33 unavailable | 3g | TEX Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 3 projected | Cal Quantrill | 14.8% v1 | 14.8% fallback | +260 betrivers | 27.8% raw | -13.0% EV -46.7% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 34 | Willson Contreras BOS | Missing Statcast | 345 | #34 | #34 unavailable | 2g | TB Jul 17, 5:35 PM | 4 projected | Griffin Jax | 14.7% v1 | 14.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 35 | Manny Machado SD | Missing Statcast | 347 | #35 | #35 unavailable | 3g | KC Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 3 projected | Seth Lugo | 14.5% v1 | 14.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 36 | Samuel Basallo BAL | Missing Statcast | 349 | #36 | #36 unavailable | 0g | HOU Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 4 projected | Peter Lambert | 14.3% v1 | 14.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 37 | Riley Greene DET | Missing Statcast | 351 | #37 | #37 unavailable | 6g | LAA Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 4 projected | Reid Detmers | 14.0% v1 | 14.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 38 | Heliot Ramos SF | Missing Statcast | 353 | #38 | #38 unavailable | 6g | SEA Jul 18, 2:10 AM | 1 projected | Bryce Miller | 14.0% v1 | 14.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 39 | Ryan O'Hearn PIT | Missing Statcast | 355 | #39 | #39 unavailable | 4g | CLE Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 4 projected | Gavin Williams | 13.8% v1 | 13.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 40 | Zach Neto LAA | Missing Statcast | 361 | #42 | #42 unavailable | 6g | DET Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 1 projected | Troy Melton | 13.8% v1 | 13.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 41 | Yainer Diaz HOU | Missing Statcast | 362 | #41 | #41 unavailable | 2g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 7 projected | Dean Kremer | 13.8% v1 | 13.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 42 | Ketel Marte AZ | Missing Statcast | 363 | #40 | #40 unavailable | 11g | STL Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 1 projected | n/a | 13.8% v1 | 13.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 43 | Mickey Moniak COL | Missing Statcast | 363 | #43 | #43 unavailable | 9g | CIN Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 2 projected | Brady Singer | 13.7% v1 | 13.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 44 | Eugenio Suárez CIN | Missing Statcast | 368 | #44 | #44 unavailable | 0g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 4 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 13.6% v1 | 13.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 45 | Miguel Vargas CWS | Missing Statcast | 369 | #46 | #46 unavailable | 2g | TOR Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 2 projected | Spencer Miles | 13.5% v1 | 13.5% fallback | +440 betrivers | 18.5% raw | -5.1% EV -27.4% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 46 | Sal Stewart CIN | Missing Statcast | 370 | #45 | #45 unavailable | 4g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 2 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 13.6% v1 | 13.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 47 | Justin Foscue TEX | Missing Statcast | 371 | #47 | #47 unavailable | 3g | ATL Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 5 projected | Chris Sale | 13.4% v1 | 13.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 48 | Royce Lewis MIN | Missing Statcast | 373 | #48 | #48 unavailable | 1g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 5 projected | Colin Rea | 13.4% v1 | 13.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 49 | Amed Rosario NYY | Missing Statcast | 375 | #49 | #49 unavailable | 7g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 3 projected | Roki Sasaki | 13.3% v1 | 13.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 50 | Rhys Hoskins CLE | Missing Statcast | 377 | #50 | #50 unavailable | 1g | PIT Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 4 projected | Jared Jones | 13.1% v1 | 13.1% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 51 | Colson Montgomery CWS | Missing Statcast | 379 | #51 | #51 unavailable | 6g | TOR Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 4 projected | Spencer Miles | 13.1% v1 | 13.1% fallback | +440 betrivers | 18.5% raw | -5.4% EV -29.2% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 52 | Bryan Reynolds PIT | Missing Statcast | 381 | #52 | #52 unavailable | 2g | CLE Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 2 projected | Gavin Williams | 13.1% v1 | 13.1% fallback | +510 betrivers | 16.4% raw | -3.3% EV -20.2% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 53 | Randy Arozarena SEA | Missing Statcast | 383 | #53 | #53 unavailable | 0g | SF Jul 18, 2:10 AM | 2 projected | Landen Roupp | 13.0% v1 | 13.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 54 | Freddie Freeman LAD | Missing Statcast | 385 | #54 | #54 unavailable | 7g | NYY Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 3 projected | Gerrit Cole | 13.0% v1 | 13.0% fallback | +360 betrivers | 21.7% raw | -8.7% EV -40.2% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 55 | Casey Schmitt SF | Missing Statcast | 387 | #55 | #55 unavailable | 1g | SEA Jul 18, 2:10 AM | 3 projected | Bryce Miller | 12.8% v1 | 12.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 56 | Brandon Lowe PIT | Missing Statcast | 391 | #57 | #57 unavailable | 5g | CLE Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 1 projected | Gavin Williams | 12.6% v1 | 12.6% fallback | +370 betrivers | 21.3% raw | -8.7% EV -40.9% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 57 | Michael Conforto CHC | Missing Statcast | 392 | #56 | #56 unavailable | 2g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 8 projected | Bailey Ober | 12.6% v1 | 12.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 58 | Mookie Betts LAD | Missing Statcast | 393 | #58 | #58 unavailable | 12g | NYY Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 4 projected | Gerrit Cole | 12.5% v1 | 12.5% fallback | +440 betrivers | 18.5% raw | -6.0% EV -32.6% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 59 | Trevor Larnach MIN | Missing Statcast | 395 | #59 | #59 unavailable | 0g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 1 projected | Colin Rea | 12.5% v1 | 12.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 60 | Jake Burger TEX | Missing Statcast | 397 | #60 | #60 unavailable | 2g | ATL Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 4 projected | Chris Sale | 12.5% v1 | 12.5% fallback | +400 betrivers | 20.0% raw | -7.5% EV -37.7% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 61 | Shea Langeliers ATH | Missing Statcast | 401 | #62 | #62 unavailable | 0g | WSH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 2 projected | Cade Cavalli | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 62 | Joe Mack MIA | Missing Statcast | 402 | #61 | #61 unavailable | 6g | MIL Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 9 projected | Logan Henderson | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 63 | Spencer Steer CIN | Missing Statcast | 406 | #63 | #63 unavailable | 6g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 5 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 64 | Cam Smith HOU | Missing Statcast | 408 | #64 | #64 unavailable | 0g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 6 projected | Dean Kremer | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 65 | Carter Jensen KC | Missing Statcast | 409 | #66 | #66 unavailable | 8g | SD Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 1 projected | Michael King | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 66 | Carson Kelly CHC | Missing Statcast | 410 | #65 | #65 unavailable | 1g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 7 projected | Bailey Ober | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 67 | Colby Thomas ATH | Missing Statcast | 411 | #67 | #67 unavailable | 7g | WSH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 5 projected | Cade Cavalli | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 68 | Alec Burleson STL | Missing Statcast | 413 | #68 | #68 unavailable | 4g | AZ Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 3 projected | Merrill Kelly | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 69 | Denzer Guzman LAA | Missing Statcast | 417 | #70 | #70 unavailable | 0g | DET Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 3 projected | Troy Melton | 12.3% v1 | 12.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 70 | Victor Mesa Jr. TB | Missing Statcast | 419 | #71 | #71 unavailable | 1g | BOS Jul 17, 5:35 PM | 5 projected | Jake Bennett | 12.3% v1 | 12.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 71 | Jonny DeLuca TB | Missing Statcast | 421 | #69 | #69 unavailable | 5g | BOS Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 6 projected | n/a | 12.4% v1 | 12.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 72 | Jake Bauers MIL | Missing Statcast | 423 | #73 | #73 unavailable | 2g | MIA Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 5 projected | Sandy Alcantara | 12.2% v1 | 12.2% fallback | +335 betrivers | 23.0% raw | -10.8% EV -47.0% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 73 | Dansby Swanson CHC | Missing Statcast | 424 | #72 | #72 unavailable | 9g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 9 projected | Bailey Ober | 12.2% v1 | 12.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 74 | Jordan Walker STL | Missing Statcast | 427 | #75 | #75 unavailable | 3g | AZ Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 4 projected | Merrill Kelly | 11.9% v1 | 11.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 75 | Griffin Conine MIA | Missing Statcast | 428 | #74 | #74 unavailable | 0g | MIL Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 5 projected | Logan Henderson | 12.0% v1 | 12.0% fallback | +370 betrivers | 21.3% raw | -9.3% EV -43.6% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | low_pitcher_history |
| 76 | Mauricio Dubón ATL | Missing Statcast | 431 | #77 | #77 unavailable | 1g | TEX Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 5 projected | Cal Quantrill | 11.8% v1 | 11.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 77 | Taylor Trammell HOU | Missing Statcast | 432 | #76 | #76 unavailable | 7g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 9 projected | Dean Kremer | 11.8% v1 | 11.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 78 | Ozzie Albies ATL | Missing Statcast | 433 | #78 | #78 unavailable | 9g | TEX Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 1 projected | Cal Quantrill | 11.7% v1 | 11.7% fallback | +460 betrivers | 17.9% raw | -6.1% EV -34.3% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 79 | Jonny DeLuca TB | Missing Statcast | 435 | #79 | #79 unavailable | 5g | BOS Jul 17, 5:35 PM | 6 projected | Jake Bennett | 11.7% v1 | 11.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 80 | Gavin Sheets SD | Missing Statcast | 439 | #81 | #81 unavailable | 12g | KC Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 4 projected | Seth Lugo | 11.6% v1 | 11.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 81 | Victor Mesa Jr. TB | Missing Statcast | 443 | #80 | #80 unavailable | 1g | BOS Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 5 projected | n/a | 11.6% v1 | 11.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 82 | Jeremy Peña HOU | Missing Statcast | 444 | #82 | #82 unavailable | 12g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 2 projected | Dean Kremer | 11.6% v1 | 11.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 83 | Coby Mayo BAL | Missing Statcast | 445 | #84 | #84 unavailable | 0g | HOU Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 6 projected | Peter Lambert | 11.4% v1 | 11.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 84 | Isaac Paredes HOU | Missing Statcast | 446 | #83 | #83 unavailable | 6g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 4 projected | Dean Kremer | 11.5% v1 | 11.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 85 | Brooks Lee MIN | Missing Statcast | 447 | #85 | #85 unavailable | 14g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 6 projected | Colin Rea | 11.3% v1 | 11.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 86 | Jasson Domínguez NYY | Missing Statcast | 449 | #86 | #86 unavailable | 2g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 5 projected | Roki Sasaki | 11.3% v1 | 11.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 87 | Max Muncy ATH | Missing Statcast | 455 | #89 | #89 unavailable | 8g | WSH Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 7 projected | Cade Cavalli | 11.0% v1 | 11.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 88 | Noelvi Marte CIN | Missing Statcast | 456 | #88 | #88 unavailable | 4g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 7 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 11.0% v1 | 11.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 89 | Caleb Durbin BOS | Missing Statcast | 457 | #87 | #87 unavailable | 3g | TB Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 7 projected | n/a | 11.1% v1 | 11.1% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 90 | Victor Caratini MIN | Missing Statcast | 457 | #90 | #90 unavailable | 8g | CHC Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 7 projected | Colin Rea | 11.0% v1 | 11.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 91 | Spencer Torkelson DET | Missing Statcast | 459 | #91 | #91 unavailable | 2g | LAA Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 5 projected | Reid Detmers | 10.9% v1 | 10.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 92 | David Fry CLE | Missing Statcast | 461 | #92 | #92 unavailable | 6g | PIT Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 6 projected | Jared Jones | 10.9% v1 | 10.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 93 | George Springer TOR | Missing Statcast | 465 | #94 | #94 unavailable | 2g | CWS Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 1 projected | Anthony Kay | 10.8% v1 | 10.8% fallback | +440 betrivers | 18.5% raw | -7.7% EV -41.7% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 94 | Alex Bregman CHC | Missing Statcast | 466 | #93 | #93 unavailable | 0g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 2 projected | Bailey Ober | 10.8% v1 | 10.8% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 95 | Dillon Dingler DET | Missing Statcast | 469 | #96 | #96 unavailable | 13g | LAA Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 2 projected | Reid Detmers | 10.7% v1 | 10.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 96 | Brice Matthews HOU | Missing Statcast | 470 | #95 | #95 unavailable | 3g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 8 projected | Dean Kremer | 10.7% v1 | 10.7% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 97 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | Missing Statcast | 471 | #97 | #97 unavailable | 2g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 6 projected | Roki Sasaki | 10.6% v1 | 10.6% fallback | +410 betrivers | 19.6% raw | -9.0% EV -45.8% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 98 | Nathan Lukes TOR | Missing Statcast | 473 | #98 | #98 unavailable | 0g | CWS Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 2 projected | Anthony Kay | 10.6% v1 | 10.6% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 99 | Ty France SD | Missing Statcast | 477 | #100 | #100 unavailable | 1g | KC Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 5 projected | Seth Lugo | 10.5% v1 | 10.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 100 | Andruw Monasterio BOS | Missing Statcast | 481 | #99 | #99 unavailable | 1g | TB Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 8 projected | n/a | 10.5% v1 | 10.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | missing_probable_pitcher low_pitcher_history |
| 101 | Christian Walker HOU | Missing Statcast | 482 | #101 | #101 unavailable | 6g | BAL Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 5 projected | Dean Kremer | 10.5% v1 | 10.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 102 | Brice Turang MIL | Missing Statcast | 483 | #103 | #103 unavailable | 0g | MIA Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 3 projected | Sandy Alcantara | 10.4% v1 | 10.4% fallback | +575 betrivers | 14.8% raw | -4.4% EV -29.8% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 103 | Elly De La Cruz CIN | Missing Statcast | 484 | #102 | #102 unavailable | 2g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 1 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 10.5% v1 | 10.5% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 104 | Jackson Merrill SD | Missing Statcast | 487 | #105 | #105 unavailable | 9g | KC Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 2 projected | Seth Lugo | 10.4% v1 | 10.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 105 | JJ Bleday CIN | Missing Statcast | 488 | #104 | #104 unavailable | 1g | COL Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 3 projected | Gabriel Hughes | 10.4% v1 | 10.4% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 106 | William Contreras MIL | Missing Statcast | 489 | #106 | #106 unavailable | 13g | MIA Jul 17, 11:40 PM | 4 projected | Sandy Alcantara | 10.3% v1 | 10.3% fallback | +475 betrivers | 17.4% raw | -7.1% EV -40.6% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 107 | JJ Wetherholt STL | Missing Statcast | 493 | #108 | #108 unavailable | 8g | AZ Jul 18, 1:40 AM | 1 projected | Merrill Kelly | 10.3% v1 | 10.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 108 | Michael Busch CHC | Missing Statcast | 494 | #107 | #107 unavailable | 9g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 3 projected | Bailey Ober | 10.3% v1 | 10.3% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 109 | Kyle Manzardo CLE | Missing Statcast | 495 | #109 | #109 unavailable | 11g | PIT Jul 17, 11:10 PM | 3 projected | Jared Jones | 10.3% v1 | 10.3% fallback | +460 betrivers | 17.9% raw | -7.6% EV -42.6% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 110 | Josh Lowe LAA | Missing Statcast | 497 | #110 | #110 unavailable | 0g | DET Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 8 projected | Troy Melton | 10.2% v1 | 10.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 111 | Taylor Ward BAL | Missing Statcast | 499 | #111 | #111 unavailable | 1g | HOU Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 2 projected | Peter Lambert | 10.2% v1 | 10.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 112 | Ezequiel Duran TEX | Missing Statcast | 503 | #113 | #113 unavailable | 1g | ATL Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 6 projected | Chris Sale | 10.1% v1 | 10.1% fallback | +750 betrivers | 11.8% raw | -1.6% EV -13.8% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |
| 113 | Junior Perez CWS | Missing Statcast | 504 | #112 | #112 unavailable | 6g | TOR Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 8 projected | Spencer Miles | 10.2% v1 | 10.2% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_batter_history |
| 114 | Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | Missing Statcast | 505 | #114 | #114 unavailable | 12g | KC Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 1 projected | Seth Lugo | 10.1% v1 | 10.1% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 115 | Jorge Soler LAA | Missing Statcast | 509 | #116 | #116 unavailable | 13g | DET Jul 18, 1:38 AM | 4 projected | Troy Melton | 10.0% v1 | 10.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 116 | Ian Happ CHC | Missing Statcast | 510 | #115 | #115 unavailable | 13g | MIN Jul 18, 12:05 AM | 5 projected | Bailey Ober | 10.0% v1 | 10.0% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | low_pitcher_history |
| 117 | Mike Yastrzemski ATL | Missing Statcast | 511 | #117 | #117 unavailable | 1g | TEX Jul 17, 11:15 PM | 8 projected | Cal Quantrill | 9.9% v1 | 9.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 118 | Kyle Karros COL | Missing Statcast | 513 | #118 | #118 unavailable | 1g | CIN Jul 18, 12:40 AM | 7 projected | Brady Singer | 9.9% v1 | 9.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 119 | Bobby Witt Jr. KC | Missing Statcast | 515 | #119 | #119 unavailable | 3g | SD Jul 18, 12:10 AM | 2 projected | Michael King | 9.9% v1 | 9.9% fallback | n/a missing | n/a n/a | n/a EV n/a | missing_odds n/a books | n/a | clean |
| 120 | Cody Bellinger NYY | Missing Statcast | 517 | #120 | #120 unavailable | 23g | LAD Jul 17, 11:05 PM | 4 projected | Roki Sasaki | 9.9% v1 | 9.9% fallback | +440 betrivers | 18.5% raw | -8.7% EV -46.8% | raw_implied 1 books | Jul 17, 1:11 PM | clean |