Sports Edge

NFL Markets

This week's model win probabilities and projected spreads stay visible while sportsbook prices are unavailable. Priced markets and guarded touchdown probabilities appear below when available.

Updated Oct 15, 11:48 AM MDT
NFL game forecasts (2026-10-15 → 2026-10-19)

Projected spread is from the home team's perspective. Model winner shows the team with the higher win probability. Book prices are required for edge or EV.

MatchupKickoffProjected home spreadModel winnerBook home spreadStatus
SEA @ DEN
Week 6
Oct 15, 6:15 PM MDT+2.6SEA · 50.6%+2.5
With book odds
HOU @ JAX
Week 6
Oct 18, 7:30 AM MDT-9.6JAX · 70.4%-3.0
With book odds
CHI @ ATL
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT+1.1CHI · 56.9%+3.0
With book odds
BAL @ CLE
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT+9.3BAL · 63.6%+4.5
With book odds
CAR @ PHI
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT+4.8CAR · 56.9%-1.5
With book odds
NYJ @ NE
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT-8.8NE · 76.4%-7.5
With book odds
PIT @ TB
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT-0.5PIT · 63.6%+3.0
With book odds
NO @ NYG
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT-3.8NO · 50.6%-1.5
With book odds
TEN @ IND
Week 6
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDT-6.5IND · 76.4%-7.0
With book odds
ARI @ LA
Week 6
Oct 18, 2:05 PM MDT-11.1LA · 76.4%-13.5
With book odds
LAC @ KC
Week 6
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDT-15.3KC · 80.0%-8.5
With book odds
BUF @ LV
Week 6
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDT+6.5BUF · 63.6%+6.0
With book odds
DAL @ GB
Week 6
Oct 18, 6:20 PM MDT-0.3DAL · 50.6%-1.5
With book odds
WAS @ SF
Week 6
Oct 19, 6:15 PM MDT-14.0SF · 78.2%-7.5
With book odds

14 games · forecasts updated Oct 13, 1:55 PM MDT

Market probabilities

Model only until a book price is captured
›Warnings (5)
  • NFL totals show captured sportsbook prices; a validated totals model is not yet available, so edge and EV stay blank.
  • NFL team-total outcome coverage is incomplete.
  • NFL v2 is live under monitored rollout; it improved on v1 but did not clear every formal promotion gate, and injuries remain excluded pending point-in-time coverage.
  • NFL anytime-TD fair odds come from model probabilities. They are not sportsbook offers, and no betting edge or EV is calculated.
  • 129 NFL anytime-TD rows are withheld by forecast freshness, game window, role, injury, sample-size, or invalid probability guardrails.
ARI moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:05 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+575
23.6%
market 14.2%
9.4%59.3%
Research
JAX spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 7:30 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -3.0 · +100
68.1%
market 47.8%
20.2%36.1%
Research
KC spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -8.5 · -105
68.8%
market 48.9%
19.9%34.3%
Research
SF spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 19, 6:15 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -7.5 · -108
67.9%
market 49.6%
18.4%30.8%
Research
CAR spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 1.5 · -115
67.3%
market 51.1%
16.2%25.9%
Research
BAL spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -4.5 · -105
63.4%
market 48.9%
14.5%23.9%
Research
LV moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+225
36.4%
market 29.5%
6.9%18.2%
Research
JAX moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 7:30 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-148
70.4%
market 57.2%
13.2%17.9%
Research
NYG spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -1.5 · +100
56.5%
market 47.8%
8.7%13.0%
Research
ATL spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 3.0 · +100
55.6%
market 47.8%
7.7%11.1%
Research
CAR moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-105
56.9%
market 48.9%
8.0%11.1%
Research
TB spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 3.0 · -118
60.0%
market 51.7%
8.3%10.9%
Research
DEN moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 15, 6:15 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+124
49.4%
market 42.8%
6.6%10.7%
Research
PIT moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-148
63.6%
market 57.2%
6.4%6.6%
Research
ARI spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:05 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line 13.5 · -115
56.9%
market 51.1%
5.8%6.4%
Research
CLE moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+190
36.4%
market 33.1%
3.3%5.5%
Research
NE spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -7.5 · -105
53.8%
market 48.9%
4.8%5.0%
Research
ATL moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+142
43.1%
market 39.6%
3.5%4.3%
Research
DAL moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 6:20 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-102
50.6%
market 48.3%
2.3%0.2%
Research
BUF spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -6.0 · -108
51.5%
market 49.6%
1.9%-0.9%
Research
IND moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-340
76.4%
market 74.1%
2.3%-1.1%
Research
DAL spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 6:20 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line 1.5 · -118
53.4%
market 51.7%
1.6%-1.4%
Research
DEN spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 15, 6:15 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line 2.5 · -102
49.8%
market 48.3%
1.5%-1.4%
Research
KC moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-440
80.0%
market 78.2%
1.8%-1.8%
Research
SF moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 19, 6:15 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-395
78.2%
market 76.6%
1.6%-2.1%
Research
TEN spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 7.0 · -112
51.4%
market 50.4%
1.0%-2.7%
Research
NE moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-375
76.4%
market 75.7%
0.7%-3.2%
Research
NO moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-110
50.6%
market 50.0%
0.6%-3.4%
Research
NYG moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-110
49.4%
market 50.0%
-0.6%-5.7%
Research
IND spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -7.0 · -108
48.6%
market 49.6%
-1.0%-6.4%
Research
NYJ moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+295
23.6%
market 24.3%
-0.7%-6.8%
Research
SEA spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 15, 6:15 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -2.5 · -118
50.2%
market 51.7%
-1.5%-7.2%
Research
GB spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 6:20 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -1.5 · -102
46.6%
market 48.3%
-1.6%-7.7%
Research
LV spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line 6.0 · -112
48.5%
market 50.4%
-1.9%-8.1%
Research
BAL moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-230
63.6%
market 66.9%
-3.3%-8.7%
Research
GB moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 6:20 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-118
49.4%
market 51.7%
-2.3%-8.7%
Research
CHI moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-170
56.9%
market 60.4%
-3.5%-9.6%
Research
WAS moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 19, 6:15 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+310
21.8%
market 23.4%
-1.6%-10.5%
Research
LAC moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+340
20.0%
market 21.8%
-1.8%-12.0%
Research
TEN moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+270
23.6%
market 25.9%
-2.3%-12.7%
Research
BUF moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:25 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-278
63.6%
market 70.5%
-6.9%-13.5%
Research
NYJ spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 7.5 · -115
46.2%
market 51.1%
-4.8%-13.6%
Research
LA moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:05 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-850
76.4%
market 85.8%
-9.4%-14.6%
Research
SEA moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 15, 6:15 PM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-148
50.6%
market 57.2%
-6.6%-15.2%
Research
LA spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 2:05 PM MDTspread
draftkings
line -13.5 · -105
43.1%
market 48.9%
-5.8%-15.9%
Research
CHI spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -3.0 · -120
44.4%
market 52.2%
-7.7%-18.5%
Research
TB moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
+124
36.4%
market 42.8%
-6.4%-18.5%
Research
PHI moneyline
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTmoneyline
draftkings
-115
43.1%
market 51.1%
-8.0%-19.4%
Research
NO spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line 1.5 · -120
43.5%
market 52.2%
-8.7%-20.2%
Research
PIT spread
NFL · nfl-v2-live-20260906-residual
Supabase team model + The Odds API snapshot
Oct 18, 11:00 AM MDTspread
draftkings
line -3.0 · -102
40.0%
market 48.3%
-8.3%-20.8%
Research
Showing 1–50 of 253 filtered rows · 253 total
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