NBA Performance
Windowed live grades by market, plus persisted model evaluation evidence.
Spread & winner board
Open market| Model | Market | Sample | W-L-P | Hit rate | Flat -110 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v3 | spread | 127 | 58-69-0 | 45.7% | -12.8% |
| v3 | winner | 127 | 75-52-0 | 59.1% | n/a |
Weekly ATS hit rate & flat units
Persisted backtests
Evaluation runs stored in Supabase, separate from live grading.
Evaluation runs
| Evaluation | Model | Test range | Accuracy | AUC | Brier / log loss | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| performance_history_nba_2025-26_spread | v3 | n/a–n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a / n/a | n/a | candidate |
Accuracy over time