PGA Performance
Windowed live grades by market, plus persisted model evaluation evidence.
Tournament board — win/top-10/top-20
Open market| Event | Model | Players | Top 10 | Top 20 | Winner actual / expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| baycurrent_classic_2026 | pga-baseline-v0 | 576 | 16.7% | 27.8% | 8 / 8.39 |
| biltmore_championship_asheville_2026 | pga-baseline-v0 | 262 | 10.7% | 16.0% | 2 / 2.90 |
| tour_championship_2026 | pga-baseline-v0 | 150 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 5 / 5.00 |
| bmw_championship_2026 | pga-baseline-v0 | 12 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 0 / 0.38 |
Persisted backtests
Evaluation runs stored in Supabase, separate from live grading.
Evaluation runs
| Evaluation | Model | Test range | Accuracy | AUC | Brier / log loss | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| performance_history_pga_test_gte_2025_outright_top_placement | v2 artifacts evaluated on refreshed store | n/a–n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a / n/a | n/a | candidate |
Accuracy over time