Performance
Pick a league to inspect its graded results and persisted backtests.
Updated Aug 31, 8:16 PM
NBA
Team spread and winner probabilities.
-7.5%
ROI
1,175
Graded
MLB
Daily player and team baseball markets.
-3.1%
ROI
673
Graded
PGA
Tournament placement and winner probabilities.
—
ROI
15,172
Graded
Research and seasonal
Not yet in productionNFL
Seasonal team football markets.
-8.0%
ROI
285
Graded
NHL
Hockey market integration scaffold.
—
ROI
0
Graded
CBB
Seasonal college basketball tournament modeling.
—
ROI
2,002
Graded
Model artifacts and production gates
Local artifact metrics alongside live gradesModels tracked
5
One record per sport and model version.
Profitable models
0
Of 3 with measured ROI.
Best ROI
-3.1%
MLB moneyline
Blocked from production
3
2 more are candidates.
ROI by league
Metrics and coverage
| Sport | Market | Season | Bets | W-L-P | ROI | Units | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | spread | 2025-26 | 591 | 31-33-0 | -7.5% | n/a | oddspapi_tail_patch_partial |
| NFL | spread | 2025 | 56 | 27-29-0 | -8.0% | n/a | partial_supabase_spread_odds |
| MLB | moneyline | 2026 YTD | n/a | n/a | -3.1% | n/a | free_historical_moneylines |
| PGA | outright/top placement | test >= 2025 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | masters_2026_pre_event_odds_cache_only |
| CBB | tournament winner probability | CV 2016-2025 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | no_sportsbook_odds |
NBA Performance
| Model | Market | Sample | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| v3 | spread | 1,175 | -7.5% | candidate |
NFL Performance
| Model | Market | Sample | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| v1 | spread | 285 | -8.0% | blocked |