NFL Performance
Windowed live grades by market, plus persisted model evaluation evidence.
Spread & winner board
Open market| Model | Market | Sample | W-L-P | Hit rate | Flat -110 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v2 | spread | 55 | 26-29-0 | 47.3% | -9.8% |
| v2 | winner | 55 | 35-20-0 | 63.6% | n/a |
| v1 | spread | 15 | 6-9-0 | 40.0% | -23.6% |
| v1 | winner | 15 | 11-4-0 | 73.3% | n/a |
Weekly ATS hit rate & flat units
Persisted backtests
Evaluation runs stored in Supabase, separate from live grading.
model_evaluation_history not available
Evaluation runs
| Evaluation | Model | Test range | Accuracy | AUC | Brier / log loss | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| performance_history_nfl_2025_spread | v1 | n/a–n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a / n/a | n/a | candidate |